Yup, that was smart. I'll wait until the penalty is adjudicated.
OK, that changed things up a bit. That PK raised Uruguary's win probability from 59% to over 90%!
Original post on win probability graphs if you have questions!
That was very rude of Costa Rica to score twice while I was trying to do an update
First order of business is I want to get the Uruguay-Costa Rica predictive chart up before the game progresses any further (currently in the 6th minute). Most likekly outcomes are 2-0 and 1-0 for Uruguay.