Monday, June 30, 2014

World Cup Knockout Stage: Germany vs. Algeria

This game should also be ridiculously one-sided. Watching the USA vs. Germany, it felt like they never mishit a single ball. Of course, just because it should be doesn't mean it will be! I see some color on the Algerian side of the chart!

Note that only 91% of the potential game outcomes are covered by this chart (usually it's 99+%). That means there's a 9% chance we see a result that's not shown in this 6x6 grid.

This post  has a little more on how the win probability graphs work
This post has a little more on how the pregame heat maps work

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