College Football Math Week 6

The 90th percentile Watchability rating for the 2014 regular season is 63.7. What that means is that of all the college football games played in 2014:

• 90% have Watchability ratings below 63.7
• 10% have Watchability ratings above 63.7. 

In week 1 there were 5 "90th percentile" games, games with Watchability higher than 63.7, and in weeks 2-5 there were 3, 1, 2, and 4 such games respectively.

What about this week? This week there are 10 such games. 10! That's more than any other week in the regular season! Let's look at those 10:

It's an embarrassment of riches. Particularly at 12:30 PM on Saturday. Enjoy this weekend, it could be one of the best of the year.



Team Dashboards

• I've updated the both the Team Dashboard and the Expanded Dashboard through week 5. 
• Go check out Michigan, Penn State, and Pittsburgh, they all look hideously depressing
• In each and every game this season the following teams have performed worse than my model expected: Florida State, North Carolina, Utah State, Southern Methodist, UNLV, Kent State. The graphs for each of these teams go down down down down.

Watchability

• Week 6 Watchability Schedule is below
• Watchability is a measure of how likely a game is to be a close, well-played game
• What a great week. Thursday night, Friday night, Saturday morning, afternoon and evening, there's always an interesting game to watch.

• This post has way more detail on everything. Quick refresh:
• Watchability is a combination measure of how good the two teams playing are and how likely the game is to be close
• Teams are shaded by their chance to win, the greener the better