Monday, June 18, 2018

World Cup: Belgium vs. Panama

Interesting to see that Panama's odds of a win are rising as the game goes on. Generally team's chances to win go down as time ticks off in tied games - less time to score a goal. But with big spreads like this, the weaker team initially has their win probability increase - yes there's less time for Panama to score  goal, but if they do score one, Belgium has less time to answer.

This should be a very lopsided game. I think this is the first time 2-0 has been the most likely score. If Belgium struggle here...

No comments:

Post a Comment