Sunday, June 29, 2014

World Cup Knockout Stage: Mexico vs. Netherlands

Brutal for Mexico.

Go Orange!

I'm not sure why but I think if I had to root for a team other than USA#1 it would be the Dutch. Partly because they rock such orange uniforms. In honor or de grote oranje I switched up the color for the pre-game heat map.

The dutch are strong favorites (71% to win) and that shows in the 0-1, 0-2, and 1-2 being by far the most likely outcomes.

I got some feedback that multi-color might work better, so I tried that out, I do like that it's a little easier to distinguish between, say, 0-5 and 1-5, but I think it adds too much complexity. I really value the clean single color look for the heat maps. Just wanted to share, let me know if you feel strongly the other way.

This post  has a little more on how the win probability graphs work
This post has a little more on how the pregame heat maps work

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