Friday, September 14, 2012

Election Model: Most Likely Outcomes

After my last simulation I was curious - for each candidate, how are they most likely to win? 


According to the model, this is the most common electoral map in the event of an Obama victory. If Obama wins, there's a 20% the win will be with this exact electoral map.


Most likely outcome if President Obama wins


According to the model, this is the most common electoral map in the event of an Romney victory. If Romney wins, there's a 20% the win will be with this exact electoral map. 

Most likely outcome if Mitt Romney wins







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