Argentina vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina

Minute 30, headed to the bar. Will be updating from the bar if needed

Argentina's second goal locks it up (almost). Now just sweat me home on that 2-0 prediction! (Update: doh :) )

This post  has a little more on how the win probability graphswork

This post has a little more on how the predicted outcomes charts work

Pregame.
But Bosnia has a 1 in 3 chance of escaping with a tie or a win!