Saturday, June 14, 2014

Uruguay vs. Costa Rica

Win Probability so far. Maybe I should wait until this set piece ends to post...

Yup, that was smart. I'll wait until the penalty is adjudicated.

OK, that changed things up a bit. That PK raised Uruguary's win probability from 59% to over 90%!

 Original post on win probability graphs if you have questions!

That was very rude of Costa Rica to score twice while I was trying to do an update










First order of business is I want to get the Uruguay-Costa Rica predictive chart up before the game progresses any further (currently in the 6th minute). Most likekly outcomes are 2-0 and 1-0 for Uruguay.

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