In today's morning game of France-the-team-that-stands-for-everything-delicious-and-also-sexy-accents vs. Nigeria, it shouldn't be close. If France don't win this one easily they should be worried about the later stages of the tournament.
If Nigeria pulled off the shocker it would be amazing.
This post has a little more on how the win probability graphs work
This post has a little more on how the pregame heat maps work