Wednesday, November 26, 2014

College Football Math: Week 14

edit: both the dashboard and extended dashboard are up to date

For this week I refreshed my chart from week 12 showing how team's CFP chances are likely to look after this weekend. For most teams, this weekend is do or die; lose and you are functionally out. The 3 top CFP teams (Oregon, FSU, Bama) are the only teams with even a little wiggle room.

Most Watchable Games

  • Most watchable games from this week are listed below
  • CFP Leverage is the difference winning makes (vs. losing) in the team's CFP chances. For example, Mississippi State has a 61% better chance to make the CFP if they win than if they lose (more about this)
  • Watchability is a measure of how good the teams are, and how close the game is likely to be
  • The box up and to the right of this post has more background information on all the math and links to both dashboards

Full schedule 

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