2014 Team Dashboard

This is the spot to make a dashboard for any College Football (FBS) team you'd like!

All you need to do is follow these simple steps:
  1. Click the grey
  2. Type the team of your choice (no need to hit delete first)
  3. Hit Enter 
  4. Share and Enjoy!
Check out these examples if you get confused!

This page will be updated from week to week with the results of each game, but it will always be here so go ahead and bookmark it! 

The dashboard is currently updated through week 12



Some notes about the dashboard:
  • If you haven't seen the annotated dashboard go do that. It walks you through each section and what that section means
  • The names are more flexible this year. For example, it works if you enter either Cal OR California!
  • Last year I designed a poll simulator for fantasy college football. I used that with some tweaks this year to assign teams to the final playoff. The playoff is the top 4 teams in my final "poll." Poll position is decided by wins, losses, and strength of schedule, with some deference given to power conference champions. We obviously have little idea what criteria the committee will use to decide the playoff; the "simulated poll" approach is the best we can do for now.
  • Model rating is:
    • A measure of team strength that goes from 0-1
    • A team's rating is the likelihood that team would beat an average college football team
    • You can use team ratings and Bill James' log 5 win formula to calculate win probabilities
  • Bowl eligibility numbers are crazy high. There are too many bowl games
  • The model is really high on the Pac-12, and kind of low on mid-major teams. It started as the cause for some extensive testing out of the model, but I'm using even more info to calibrate this year, and the end product aligns really well with the first week's betting lines (.97 correlation) and intuitively it seems like the Pac-12 is going to be a tough row to hoe for anyone. So Pac-12 4eva!

2 comments:

  1. Just a heads up: several of the games (Clemson/BC, UAB/MTSU, Army/Kent, etc.) do not add up to 100% win probability, so there may be an error somewhere.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thanks! Figured out the error and I'll make a fix after I get off work.

    ReplyDelete