Call it for Cruz and (almost) Sanders
This might be an anticlimactic evening. MSNBC has already called it for Cruz and Sanders, my model isn't there yet but it's headed there.
For some reason Wisconsin gets it's own special Tuesday! Both the Democrats and Republicans held primaries in Wisconsin and only Wisconsin today. Polls close at 6pm.
Results should start rolling in soon; here's where we're starting out:
As always, read more on methodology here, I use the 538 model as Bayesian priors when available, otherwise I use polling and wide wide priors (i.e. high uncertainty).